Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 6.830094 7.948914 9.157210 10.554754 12.122096 13.821054 15.797263
2026-01-18 5.075761 6.511712 8.183540 10.257007 12.741638 15.604843 19.134089
2026-01-25 4.032560 5.588873 7.510182 10.022589 13.184103 16.991485 21.880213
2026-02-01 3.278866 4.866974 6.930742 9.754516 13.456522 18.079370 24.214526
2026-02-08 2.714571 4.293789 6.444590 9.509450 13.675179 19.043023 26.370794
2026-02-15 2.249168 3.783022 5.967722 9.201681 13.745929 19.770988 28.206923
2026-02-22 1.978986 3.514814 5.789853 9.269818 14.299808 21.130313 30.897008
2026-03-01 1.744763 3.266872 5.608094 9.302059 14.783908 22.394093 33.486572
2026-03-08 1.556109 3.064633 5.469151 9.374355 15.312175 23.723007 36.197327
2026-03-15 1.380548 2.859432 5.301127 9.380051 15.728740 24.895862 38.717135
2026-03-22 1.276807 2.764900 5.298558 9.635343 16.521567 26.627825 42.077053
2026-03-29 1.174383 2.658627 5.263813 9.830375 17.223079 28.243443 45.313780
2026-04-05 1.054450 2.505580 5.137718 9.870122 17.689487 29.538303 48.145868
2026-04-12 0.900859 2.264152 4.831831 9.582761 17.614297 30.007682 49.767375
2026-04-19 0.777051 2.064007 4.578425 9.360874 17.623253 30.592823 51.566102
2026-04-26 0.665989 1.872878 4.320686 9.107395 17.557881 31.048549 53.169489
2026-05-03 0.572108 1.704104 4.087084 8.875739 17.509179 31.518014 54.796049
2026-05-10 0.484934 1.535193 3.833888 8.584899 17.336220 31.772244 56.083204
2026-05-17 0.440342 1.463348 3.772075 8.649279 17.782703 33.040015 58.996715
2026-05-24 0.397618 1.388838 3.696525 8.679744 18.166523 34.212913 61.786883
2026-05-31 0.362162 1.327499 3.642939 8.748063 18.618484 35.509478 64.806607
2026-06-07 0.325915 1.257183 3.561696 8.753446 18.952218 36.614071 67.539928
2026-06-14 0.308248 1.237871 3.595050 8.994735 19.732295 38.497037 71.591826